It is a new week, the primary full one of many season’s second half, and in ESPN’s commonplace leagues which means a brand-new matchup in these head-to-head leagues. The Forecaster has been updated to offer you in-depth projections and evaluation of the July 25-31 video games forward, however let’s use this area to dig into some specifics on the add/drop entrance.
Gavin Lux, SS/2B/OF, Los Angeles Dodgers (36.7% accessible in ESPN leagues): As referenced in stated Forecaster, the Dodgers have by far probably the most favorable set of hitting matchups — in addition to from a aggressive, all-around standpoint — throughout this subsequent seven-day scoring interval, thanks to a few residence video games towards the worst-in-the-majors Washington Nationals, adopted by a four-game journey to Colorado’s Coors Discipline. These Coors video games do detract from Dodgers pitchers’ matchups, and that they’re going to make the most of a six-man rotation for the week waters down the starters’ enchantment from a quantity perspective in addition to clouds who will fall into unlucky Coors assignments, however issues could not align significantly better than they do for the workforce’s hitters. Freddie Freeman has been on an enormous tear, a big a part of the rationale the workforce entered the All-Star break on a scorching streak, then exited it with a four-game sweep of the division-rival San Francisco Giants, however there’s worth available off the waiver wire from this roster.
Lux must be a common add-and-start contemplating this schedule, having began 15 of the workforce’s previous 18 video games, together with 5-of-7 towards lefty starters, to not point out transferring as much as fifth/sixth within the batting order for 2 of the previous three. He is a .308/.419/.577 hitter throughout that 18-game span, making late-game appearances within the three that he didn’t begin.
Randal Grichuk, OF, Colorado Rockies (55.2% accessible): The Rockies’ matchups, regardless of six of their seven video games coming at Coors Discipline, do not stack up in addition to these of the Dodgers, primarily as a result of these Dodgers are merely the higher workforce, but additionally as a result of the Rockies need to cope with some fairly gifted pitching within the course of (Michael Kopech, Julio Urias and Clayton Kershaw, most notably). Nonetheless, Rockies hitters profit from the week heavy on Coors video games, and it will be very true for his or her lefty-mashers, a bunch that features Kris Bryant (.345/.397/.621 charges towards lefties this yr), Brendan Rodgers (.330/.393/.547) and, sure, Grichuk (.313/.343/.525).
Grichuk could be within the midst of a significantly disappointing first yr in Colorado, however two issues he has excelled at are all these matchups – residence video games, as he has batted .295/.326/.479, along with the above charges towards lefties, having began 35-of-38 Rockies video games towards left-handed starters. Grichuk and your whole common Rockies should be lively in every single place for Week 15.
George Kirby, SP, Seattle Mariners (78.9% accessible): The Mariners are anticipated to recall Kirby from Triple-A Tacoma on Tuesday, setting him up for a two-start week, with matchups at residence towards the Texas Rangers and on the street towards the Houston Astros. Whereas that latter project is a difficult one — the Astros have an above-average runs per recreation common, are a top-five offense at making contact and started the second half on a five-game successful streak — the extra quantity makes a workload-concern pitcher like Kirby a extra enticing add-and-start. He has loved nearly as a lot success together with his fastball throughout his rookie yr as fellow rotation mate Logan Gilbert did together with his final season, and has been proven a number of the finest management of any pitcher in baseball in 2022, his stroll charge a mere three.three%.
Kirby is almost sure to see his innings capped, most likely at most round 140, after he threw solely 67 2/three mixed between excessive Class A and Double-A ball in 2021. Nonetheless, that will give him roughly one other 49 this season over the Mariners’ closing 66 video games, that means that slowing-/shutting-down course of might be nonetheless a couple of weeks off. As is, the Mariners do not have one other very best level of their schedule to skip him altogether for an additional month, so it is a prime time to scoop him up.
The fantasy worth of George Kirby and Drew Rasmussen fell into query barely earlier than the All-Star break, however each right-handers appear on monitor to ship stable second halves. Video by Tristan H. Cockcroft
Extra Week 15 notes: The St. Louis Cardinals will likely be with out each Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt for his or her week-opening, two-game collection in Toronto on Tuesday and Wednesday. It is a vital drawback for the workforce’s offense, particularly with it being a five-game schedule, and that ought to weigh in your weekly-league choices for all of your Cardinals hitters. Brendan Donovan, who has a number of spots at which he can squeeze into the lineup, might be the hitter more than likely to capitalize upon the expanded alternative, however even he’s solely a .184/.328/.184 hitter in 15 video games in July who is not an incredible pickup.
Leody Taveras may’ve taken fairly some time to determine issues out on the big-league degree, an unsurprising growth contemplating the swing-and-miss nature to his recreation, however he appears to be approaching of late at a good time within the Texas Rangers’ schedule. He has bumped his zone contact charge by greater than 6% this season, serving to him bat .420 (21-for-50) over his previous 14 video games. Statcast says he is nonetheless performing effectively over his head, his xBA nonetheless solely .256, however even that represents a near-30 level bump, and he continues to point out a number of the quickest velocity within the recreation. His Rangers are within the midst of an 18-day span (14 of these stay) and 34-of-35 and not using a day without work, so it is a good time to get on board with him in combined leagues.